Polity
www.polity.co.uk

Printed at: 09/12/2016  –  11:33:36


Description

China's future is arguably the most consequential question in global affairs. Having enjoyed unprecedented levels of growth, China is at a critical juncture in the development of its economy, society, polity, national security, and international relations. The direction the nation takes at this turning point will determine whether it stalls or continues to develop and prosper.

Will China be successful in implementing a new wave of transformational reforms that could last decades and make it the world's leading superpower? Or will its leaders shy away from the drastic changes required because the regime's power is at risk? If so, will that lead to prolonged stagnation or even regime collapse? Might China move down a more liberal or even democratic path? Or will China instead emerge as a hard, authoritarian and aggressive superstate?

In this new book, David Shambaugh argues that these potential pathways are all possibilities - but they depend on key decisions yet to be made by China's leaders, different pressures from within Chinese society, as well as actions taken by other nations. Assessing these scenarios and their implications, he offers a thoughtful and clear study of China's future for all those seeking to understand the country's likely trajectory over the coming decade and beyond.

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Hardcover
Status
Available
Edition
First Edition
ISBN
9781509507139
ISBN10
1509507132
Publication Dates ROW:
Mar 2016
Publication Dates US:
Mar 2016
Publication Dates Aus & NZ:
Mar 2016


Format
216 x 138 mm
8.50 x 5.43 in
Pages
224 pages
E-book
Status
Available
Edition
First Edition
ISBN
9781509507177
ISBN10
1509507175
Publication Dates ROW:
Mar 2016
Publication Dates US:
Mar 2016
Publication Dates Aus & NZ:
Mar 2016


Format
229 x 152 mm
9.02 x 5.98 in
Pages
144 pages
Wiley E-Text
Status
Available
Edition
First Edition
ISBN
9781509507184
ISBN10
1509507183
Publication Dates ROW:
Jun 2016
Publication Dates US:
Jun 2016
Publication Dates Aus & NZ:
Jun 2016


Format
229 x 152 mm
9.02 x 5.98 in
Pages
144 pages

* Exam copies only available to lecturers for whom the book may be suitable as a course text.
Please note: Sales representation and distribution for Polity titles is provided by John Wiley and Sons Ltd.

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Reviews

"One of the many strengths of Shambaugh's book is that it delves beneath the surface noise surrounding the world's second-largest economy and focuses on the deeper political trends he has studied for decades."
Financial Times

"David Shambaugh lays out some bold speculations about possible futures for China that will make even seasoned China hands rethink their assumptions. It is critical reading from one of our most astute observers of that country."
Francis Fukuyama, Stanford University

"While it is not possible to predict China's future, it is possible to assay the contradictory forces that are propelling it forward. Bringing his years of experience and deep insight to bear, David Shambaugh has met this daunting challenge with great perception, balance and concision."
Orville Schell, Arthur Ross Director, Center on US-China Relations, Asia Society "Anyone desiring to understand the debate over China s future underway among China s top leadership can do no better than Shambaugh s concise book."
John Garver, Georgia Institute of Technology,

"Convincing"
Foreign Affairs

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgements

Preface

1. Pathways to China's Future

2. China's Economy

3. China's Society

4. China's Polity

5. China's Future & the World

Index

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Author Information

DAVID SHAMBAUGH is Professor of Political Science & International Affairs and Director of the China Policy Program at The George Washington University, and nonresident Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program at The Brookings Institution, in Washington, DC. An active public intellectual, he has published more than 30 books, including China Goes Global, China's Communist Party, and Modernizing China's Military.

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